Abstract:
Artificial Economic Life: A Simple Model of a Stockmarket

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R.G. Palmer, W. Brian Arthur, John H. Holland, Blake LeBaron, and Paul Taylor

We describe a model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive agents can buy and sell stock on a central market. The overall market behavior, such as the stock price time series, is an emergent property of the agents' behavior. This approach to modelling a market is contrasted with conventional rational expectations approaches. Our model does not necessarily converge to an equilibrium, and can show bubbles, crashes, and continued high trading volume.

Appeared: Physica D 75, 264-274 (1994)

Last Updated: 17-Dec-98